Lunes 30 de Octubre de 2006

Lula arrasa en Brasil

 

El presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva conquistó el domingo un nuevo mandato para liderar Brasil hasta el año 2010, al derrotar a su rival socialdemócrata Geraldo Alckmin con una avalancha de 57 millones de votos.

''El candidato Lula da Silva está reelecto'', anunció el presidente del Tribunal Supremo Electoral, Marco Aurelio de Mello, al encomiar la rapidez del escrutinio y el anuncio de los resultados a las 7:30 (hora local), dos horas antes de lo previsto.

Con el 98.16 por ciento de los votos escrutados por el sistema electrónico del tribunal, Lula había obtenido 57,252,960 votos (60.78 por ciento).

Alckmin tenía 36,949,440 votos (39.22 por ciento).

Restaban por escrutar sólo 2,314,293 votos, lo que confirmaba la victoria de Lula como una realidad matemática irreversible pues contaba con 21 millones de votos más que su rival.

Lula no había conseguido vencer de manera definitiva a Alckmin en la primera vuelta, el 1ro. de este mes, cuando sólo obtuvo el 48 por ciento de los votos, menos de la mitad de los requeridos por la ley electoral para consagrarse vencedor inmediato.

Pero en las semanas que siguieron hasta ayer, Lula y sus estrategas arrinconaron a Alckmin y su partido socialdemócrata con las comparaciones entre lo logrado por su gobierno en cuatro años y los resultados del que durante ocho años presidió Fernando Henrique Cardoso, hasta el 2002.

Lula salía en ventaja sobre todo con sus programas sociales, que permitieron sacar a millones de la pobreza extrema y le granjearon un apoyo decisivo en las regiones del Noreste y Norte, donde se concentran los mayores bolsones de pobreza de Brasil.

Ese apoyo fue una coraza que protegió a Lula de las muchas denuncias de corrupción que persiguieron a su gobierno y despojaron a su Partido de los Trabajadores (PT) de la imagen de abanderado de la ética, que había proclamado durante los 20 años en que fue oposición.

Los estrategas de Lula consiguieron también calar en el electorado la imagen de un Alckmin privatizador, y lo pusieron a la defensiva a lo largo de las cuatro semanas que precedieron a la elección.

Con esa imagen de Alckmin, atrajeron los votos ''pródigos'' de la izquierda más radical que se había separado o había sido expulsada del partido de Lula por reclamarle coherencia con sus principios izquierdistas originales.

Igualmente, al apropiarse de la esencia del programa económico socialdemócrata --la disciplina fiscal y el combate a la inflación--, la campaña de Lula debilitó el discurso de Alckmin que poco o nada novedoso pudo ofrecer, salvo la insistencia en los escándalos de los que fueron acusados muchos colaboradores de Lula.

De ese manera, las encuestas de las últimas semanas fueron mostrando una migración hacia Lula de votos provenientes de los segmentos del llamado ''Brasil rico'', que en la primera vuelta había sido bastión del candidato socialdemócrata.

De acuerdo con esas muestras, Lula conquistó votos en el estrecho círculo de los sectores más ricos y más educados de Brasil.

Alckmin, sin embargo, no consiguió penetrar en ninguna de las trincheras de votantes de Lula.

''La gente votó por Lula por varias razones'', comentó Alexandre Barros, analista de Early Warning, en Brasilia. ``Primero, porque está satisfecha con la manera en que están las cosas. Segundo, porque no había evidencia que vinculara a Lula con un escándalo. Y tercero, porque demostró que era un candidato más coherente que Alckmin''.

Antes de ser conocida su victoria, Lula había comenzado a tender puentes hacia sus opositores para garantizarse gobernabilidad.

''Quiero conversar con todos los partidos políticos, del gobierno y de la oposición, y con los gobernadores de estado'', declaró tras votar en la ciudadela industrial de Sao Bernardo do Campo, su cuna política.

''Yo debo comenzar a gobernar Brasil otra vez desde mañana y vamos a tejer las alianzas necesarias para que las personas tengan tranquilidad y para aprobar los grandes proyectos que Brasil necesita'', recalcó.

La urgencia de Lula no era precipitada y muchos analistas la compartían.

''El segundo mandato de Lula será más difícil que el primero'', aseguró David Fleischer, analista político de la Universidad de Brasilia. ``En el 2003 contaba con el entusiasmo de quienes votaron por él pues era el primer presidente obrero de Brasil. Ahora tendrá que negociar mucho''

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Escrito por: easerncurio at 2007/04/30 - 08:31:42
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